Dumbarton vs Third Lanark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1891 |
VOL
1 - 2
DUM
26%
23%
51%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1891 |
CEL
2 - 0
DUM
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1891 |
DUM
5 - 1
HOM
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1891 |
DUM
6 - 0
LEI
70%
18%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1891 |
GLA
1 - 3
DUM
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1891 |
TLA
2 - 2
GLA
31%
24%
46%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1891 |
TLA
1 - 1
REN
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1891 |
HOM
2 - 0
TLA
57%
22%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1891 |
TLA
3 - 1
CAM
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1891 |
STM
1 - 2
TLA
37%
24%
39%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |