Dumbarton vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
73.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
DUM
1 - 0
CLY
8%
14%
78%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
DUM
0 - 0
GRE
23%
25%
52%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
DUM
1 - 0
MHE
11%
19%
70%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
EAS
2 - 1
DUM
39%
24%
37%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
DUM
0 - 1
EDI
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
STM
0 - 0
DUN
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
KIL
3 - 3
STM
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
STM
1 - 2
STJ
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
STM
1 - 2
HAM
63%
23%
15%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
KIL
3 - 3
STM
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |