Dumbarton vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
50.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
DUM
2 - 1
STR
45%
24%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LIV
2 - 1
DUM
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
DUM
2 - 1
ICT
20%
24%
57%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
DUM
2 - 1
BRE
58%
21%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
DUN
1 - 1
DUM
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
STM
1 - 3
RAI
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
STM
2 - 1
BRE
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
STM
3 - 1
QOS
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
DUN
3 - 0
STM
48%
24%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
STM
4 - 2
ICT
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |