Dumbarton vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
DUM
0 - 1
HIB
20%
25%
55%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
STR
1 - 0
DUM
56%
22%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FAL
1 - 0
DUM
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 1
DUM
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
DUM
1 - 0
DUN
17%
22%
61%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
STM
1 - 3
QOS
35%
27%
39%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ALB
3 - 4
STM
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
AYR
1 - 1
STM
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
STM
0 - 2
HIB
26%
27%
47%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
RAI
3 - 1
STM
59%
23%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |