Dumbarton vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
DUN
5 - 1
DUM
66%
20%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
FAL
2 - 2
DUM
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
DUM
2 - 2
AYR
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
DUM
2 - 2
STM
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
RAI
1 - 3
DUM
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
RAI
2 - 0
STM
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
AYR
1 - 0
RAI
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
QOS
2 - 1
RAI
62%
22%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
RAI
1 - 1
HIB
25%
27%
48%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
RAI
0 - 1
GRE
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |