Dumbarton vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
DUM
0 - 3
LIV
38%
25%
38%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
HAM
2 - 1
DUM
51%
25%
25%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
HAM
2 - 3
DUM
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
DUM
4 - 2
RAI
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
DUN
3 - 4
DUM
62%
21%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
RAI
0 - 0
PAR
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
RAI
2 - 1
GRE
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
DUM
4 - 2
RAI
47%
24%
29%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
AIR
1 - 2
RAI
41%
25%
35%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
RAI
1 - 1
DUN
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |