Dumbarton vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
70.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
DUM
1 - 0
QUE
56%
23%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
SPA
0 - 0
DUM
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
DUM
0 - 2
HOM
13%
20%
67%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2018 |
CUM
2 - 3
DUM
26%
23%
50%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
EAS
1 - 3
DUM
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
KIL
0 - 0
STM
61%
21%
19%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
KIL
1 - 0
HOM
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
CEL
0 - 0
KIL
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
GLA
1 - 0
KIL
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
HIB
5 - 3
KIL
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |