Dumbarton vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
40.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1973 |
DUM
0 - 0
EAS
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1973 |
DUM
3 - 5
AIR
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1973 |
HIB
5 - 0
DUM
82%
12%
6%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1973 |
ABE
6 - 0
DUM
81%
13%
6%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1973 |
DUN
2 - 1
DUM
74%
17%
8%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1973 |
KIL
2 - 2
HIB
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1973 |
AIR
0 - 1
KIL
51%
23%
25%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1973 |
KIL
1 - 2
DUN
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1973 |
STJ
2 - 2
KIL
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1973 |
KIL
0 - 4
CEL
39%
24%
37%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |