Dumbarton vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
38.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1920 |
STM
4 - 1
DUM
64%
20%
16%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1920 |
DUM
0 - 1
PAR
39%
28%
34%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1920 |
DUM
0 - 1
ABE
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1920 |
MHE
8 - 2
DUM
84%
11%
5%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1920 |
TLA
4 - 0
DUM
81%
13%
6%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1920 |
KIL
1 - 0
ABE
71%
17%
12%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1920 |
CLY
1 - 2
KIL
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1920 |
HOM
4 - 1
KIL
54%
23%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1920 |
KIL
3 - 2
TLA
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1920 |
CEL
2 - 0
KIL
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |