Dumbarton vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1916 |
HAM
3 - 1
DUM
63%
20%
18%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1916 |
DUM
4 - 3
DUN
30%
23%
47%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1916 |
AYR
3 - 1
DUM
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1916 |
DUM
1 - 1
ABE
69%
18%
14%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1916 |
PAR
6 - 0
DUM
69%
18%
14%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1916 |
KIL
1 - 3
AIR
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1916 |
KIL
2 - 1
TLA
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1916 |
RAI
0 - 4
KIL
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1916 |
KIL
3 - 0
DUN
42%
25%
32%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1916 |
ABE
1 - 1
KIL
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |