Dumbarton vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1994 |
QOS
4 - 1
DUM
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1993 |
GLA
1 - 0
DUM
88%
9%
4%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1992 |
DUM
0 - 5
GLA
21%
23%
56%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1991 |
DUM
1 - 2
AIR
61%
21%
19%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 1991 |
BER
0 - 1
DUM
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1994 |
ABE
3 - 1
HOM
59%
25%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1994 |
PAR
0 - 1
HOM
44%
28%
28%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1994 |
HOM
2 - 0
DUN
29%
32%
40%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1994 |
HIB
0 - 0
HOM
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1994 |
HOM
1 - 1
ABE
24%
29%
47%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |