Dumbarton vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
50.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1971 |
DUM
1 - 3
QOS
65%
18%
17%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1971 |
STI
3 - 2
DUM
67%
17%
16%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1971 |
DUM
1 - 2
STE
82%
12%
6%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1971 |
QOS
1 - 0
DUM
61%
19%
20%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1971 |
STE
2 - 3
DUM
33%
25%
43%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1972 |
HOM
4 - 1
CEL
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1972 |
PAR
2 - 2
HOM
45%
25%
31%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1972 |
HOM
1 - 0
FAL
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1972 |
DUN
3 - 2
HOM
57%
22%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1972 |
HOM
1 - 0
ABE
47%
27%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |