Dumbarton vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1922 |
DUM
3 - 2
MHE
22%
24%
54%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1922 |
DUM
0 - 4
GLA
22%
25%
54%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1922 |
CLY
5 - 0
DUM
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1922 |
DUM
1 - 2
ALB
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1922 |
GRE
1 - 0
DUM
82%
12%
6%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1922 |
STM
2 - 1
HOM
55%
23%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1922 |
HOM
0 - 0
GRE
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1922 |
HOM
1 - 3
PAR
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1922 |
HOM
0 - 0
MHE
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1922 |
HOM
1 - 2
CEL
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |