Dumbarton vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
41.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1921 |
DUM
1 - 0
STM
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1921 |
CEL
1 - 1
DUM
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1921 |
ABE
2 - 0
DUM
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1921 |
DUM
0 - 1
TLA
20%
22%
58%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1921 |
DUM
1 - 0
HIB
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1921 |
ABE
5 - 2
HOM
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1921 |
HOM
6 - 0
CLY
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1921 |
CEL
3 - 2
HOM
61%
21%
19%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1921 |
HOM
2 - 1
AIR
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1921 |
HOM
3 - 0
TLA
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |