Dumbarton vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1918 |
CLY
3 - 1
DUM
60%
19%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1918 |
GRE
3 - 1
DUM
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1918 |
DUM
2 - 0
MHE
57%
22%
22%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1918 |
CLY
4 - 1
DUM
41%
26%
34%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1918 |
FAL
1 - 1
DUM
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1918 |
HOM
0 - 0
STM
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1918 |
HOM
0 - 0
MHE
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1918 |
AIR
1 - 0
HOM
44%
24%
33%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1918 |
HOM
1 - 4
GLA
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1918 |
GRE
2 - 0
HOM
61%
20%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |