Dumbarton vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1917 |
CEL
3 - 0
DUM
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1917 |
DUM
2 - 0
AIR
55%
22%
23%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1917 |
DUM
1 - 0
HIB
72%
16%
13%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1917 |
GLA
2 - 1
DUM
68%
18%
14%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1917 |
DUM
4 - 3
MHE
64%
19%
17%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1917 |
HOM
0 - 1
MHE
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1917 |
GRE
1 - 1
HOM
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1917 |
HOM
3 - 0
KIL
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1917 |
CLY
3 - 0
HOM
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1917 |
HOM
0 - 2
FAL
52%
24%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |