Dumbarton vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
43.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1917 |
HIB
3 - 1
DUM
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1917 |
CEL
1 - 1
DUM
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1917 |
DUM
5 - 1
CLY
65%
19%
16%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1917 |
TLA
1 - 1
DUM
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1917 |
DUM
2 - 2
RAI
81%
13%
7%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1917 |
DUN
2 - 3
HOM
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1917 |
RAI
1 - 4
HOM
19%
22%
59%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1917 |
HOM
0 - 1
CEL
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1917 |
GLA
1 - 0
HOM
58%
22%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1917 |
HOM
3 - 1
HAM
77%
15%
9%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |