Dumbarton vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
52.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1916 |
AIR
2 - 1
DUM
67%
18%
15%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1916 |
DUM
1 - 1
GRE
27%
22%
51%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1916 |
PAR
0 - 0
DUM
72%
17%
12%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1916 |
DUM
1 - 2
CEL
29%
24%
47%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1916 |
AYR
3 - 1
DUM
66%
17%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1916 |
HOM
2 - 1
RAI
83%
12%
5%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1916 |
HAM
3 - 2
HOM
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1916 |
HOM
3 - 1
STM
80%
13%
7%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1916 |
AYR
3 - 1
HOM
37%
25%
39%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1915 |
TLA
1 - 3
HOM
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |