Dumbarton vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
50.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1914 |
MHE
2 - 3
DUM
63%
19%
18%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1914 |
DUM
1 - 1
DUN
25%
23%
53%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1914 |
GRE
3 - 2
DUM
76%
15%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1914 |
DUM
1 - 2
AYR
60%
19%
22%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1914 |
QUE
2 - 2
DUM
60%
20%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1914 |
HOM
2 - 0
ABE
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1914 |
HOM
1 - 0
AYR
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1914 |
GLA
1 - 2
HOM
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1914 |
HOM
5 - 0
STM
82%
13%
5%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1914 |
KIL
0 - 2
HOM
26%
23%
51%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |