Dumbarton vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
48.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1914 |
CEL
4 - 0
DUM
74%
16%
10%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1914 |
DUM
0 - 4
FAL
29%
22%
48%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1914 |
RAI
1 - 2
DUM
61%
20%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1913 |
CLY
0 - 0
DUM
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1913 |
ABE
2 - 3
DUM
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1914 |
ABE
0 - 1
HOM
32%
28%
40%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1914 |
HOM
2 - 1
AYR
75%
15%
10%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1913 |
AIR
2 - 2
HOM
52%
24%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1913 |
HOM
1 - 0
CLY
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1913 |
KIL
0 - 3
HOM
23%
23%
54%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |