Dumbarton vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
51.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1895 |
TLA
5 - 2
DUM
68%
17%
15%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1895 |
DUM
2 - 3
CEL
28%
22%
51%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1895 |
HIB
7 - 2
DUM
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1895 |
DUM
4 - 2
STM
52%
19%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1895 |
STB
4 - 3
DUM
63%
20%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1895 |
DUN
5 - 0
HOM
24%
22%
54%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1895 |
HOM
9 - 1
CLY
73%
16%
12%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1895 |
HOM
4 - 3
HIB
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1895 |
STB
0 - 5
HOM
32%
23%
46%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1895 |
CEL
0 - 5
HOM
60%
19%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |