Dumbarton vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
20.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1893 |
CEL
5 - 1
DUM
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1893 |
DUM
1 - 1
REN
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1893 |
CLY
1 - 2
DUM
30%
23%
47%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1892 |
LEI
3 - 0
DUM
30%
24%
47%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1892 |
TLA
3 - 0
DUM
39%
23%
38%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1893 |
HOM
1 - 2
GLA
34%
24%
43%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1893 |
HOM
3 - 1
ABE
65%
19%
17%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1893 |
STM
3 - 1
HOM
31%
22%
47%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1892 |
CEL
5 - 0
HOM
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1892 |
CLY
2 - 3
HOM
30%
22%
48%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |