Dumbarton vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1891 |
DUM
6 - 0
LEI
70%
18%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1891 |
GLA
1 - 3
DUM
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1891 |
HOM
3 - 1
DUM
48%
22%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1891 |
DUM
8 - 1
ABE
61%
20%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1891 |
CAM
0 - 2
DUM
60%
21%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1891 |
HOM
4 - 2
REN
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1891 |
CAM
3 - 3
HOM
61%
19%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1891 |
HOM
3 - 1
DUM
48%
22%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1891 |
STM
2 - 5
HOM
38%
24%
37%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1891 |
HOM
3 - 1
CEL
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |