Dumbarton vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
43.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
DUM
0 - 5
FAL
29%
25%
46%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
HIB
4 - 2
DUM
73%
17%
9%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
DUM
2 - 1
LIV
41%
24%
35%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
RAI
1 - 0
DUM
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
DUM
1 - 2
GLA
15%
22%
63%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 3
STJ
20%
25%
55%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 0
ALL
67%
21%
13%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
FAL
1 - 0
GRE
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
QOS
1 - 0
GRE
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
RAI
2 - 1
GRE
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |