Dumbarton vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
59.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1921 |
MHE
5 - 0
DUM
86%
10%
5%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1921 |
DUM
1 - 0
AIR
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1921 |
TLA
1 - 1
DUM
84%
11%
5%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1921 |
DUM
2 - 3
QUE
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1921 |
DUM
0 - 5
CEL
22%
24%
54%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1921 |
GRE
3 - 1
RAI
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1921 |
HIB
2 - 1
GRE
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1921 |
GRE
1 - 1
TLA
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1921 |
CEL
1 - 0
GRE
52%
24%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1921 |
CLY
1 - 0
GRE
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |