Dumbarton vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1917 |
MHE
0 - 0
DUM
64%
19%
17%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1917 |
DUM
4 - 1
FAL
44%
23%
33%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1917 |
STM
0 - 0
DUM
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1917 |
DUM
1 - 1
AIR
52%
23%
25%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1917 |
GRE
3 - 1
DUM
68%
18%
14%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1917 |
GRE
2 - 1
CLY
82%
12%
7%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1917 |
PAR
3 - 3
GRE
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1917 |
GRE
2 - 0
ABE
87%
9%
4%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1917 |
MHE
0 - 2
GRE
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1917 |
GRE
3 - 1
DUM
68%
18%
14%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |