Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
5º
4º
42
5º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
STE
1 - 0
DUM
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ELG
0 - 1
DUM
21%
23%
57%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
DUM
1 - 4
GLA
6%
14%
80%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 1
DUM
29%
23%
47%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
PET
3 - 1
DUM
23%
23%
54%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 0
SPA
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 0
BRA
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 1
HIB
6%
13%
81%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 1
ELG
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
STE
2 - 1
FOR
66%
21%
14%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |