Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
PAR
2 - 1
DUM
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
DUM
2 - 3
PET
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2006 |
GRE
3 - 0
DUM
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
DUM
0 - 1
RAI
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
DUM
3 - 2
STI
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
FOR
3 - 0
ALL
66%
20%
15%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
GRE
3 - 0
FOR
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 0
AYR
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
RAI
1 - 0
FOR
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 0
FOR
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |