Dumbarton vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
46.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
HIB
4 - 2
DUM
73%
17%
9%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
DUM
2 - 1
LIV
41%
24%
35%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
RAI
1 - 0
DUM
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
DUM
1 - 2
GLA
15%
22%
63%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 0
DUM
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
FAL
0 - 1
HIB
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
FAL
1 - 0
GRE
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
GLA
3 - 1
FAL
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
FAL
0 - 0
QOS
48%
26%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
ROS
7 - 0
FAL
58%
23%
20%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |