Dumbarton vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
LIV
1 - 2
DUM
43%
24%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
HOM
4 - 0
DUM
76%
16%
9%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
DUM
1 - 0
ALL
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
DUM
0 - 0
QOS
24%
24%
53%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
HIB
3 - 0
DUM
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
CWB
0 - 1
FAL
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
FAL
0 - 3
HOM
35%
28%
38%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ALL
1 - 3
FAL
22%
26%
52%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
QOS
0 - 1
FAL
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
FAL
1 - 1
GLA
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |