Dumbarton vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
ALL
0 - 1
DUM
39%
24%
38%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
DUM
2 - 2
LIV
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
HAM
3 - 3
DUM
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
ALL
1 - 5
DUM
46%
25%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
CWB
2 - 4
DUM
40%
24%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
QOS
2 - 0
FAL
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
FAL
1 - 1
GRE
70%
19%
12%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
FAL
2 - 0
DUN
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CWB
0 - 2
FAL
30%
26%
44%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
FAL
0 - 0
HAM
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |