Dumbarton vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1921 |
DUM
2 - 0
MHE
19%
23%
58%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1921 |
KIL
4 - 1
DUM
75%
15%
10%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1921 |
DUM
1 - 2
AIR
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1921 |
DUN
2 - 1
DUM
81%
13%
6%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1921 |
GLA
2 - 0
DUM
85%
10%
5%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1921 |
GRE
2 - 0
FAL
81%
13%
6%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1921 |
FAL
0 - 2
GLA
30%
24%
45%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1921 |
HAM
2 - 0
FAL
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1921 |
CLY
1 - 2
FAL
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1921 |
FAL
2 - 0
KIL
52%
23%
25%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |