Dumbarton vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis

Dumbarton Dunfermline Athletic FC
48 ELO 57
15% Tilt 11.6%
3903º General ELO ranking 1803º
46º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
30.6%
Dumbarton
25.2%
Draw
44.2%
Dunfermline Athletic FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
Dumbarton
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
44.2%
Win probability
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dumbarton
+6%
-4%
Dunfermline Athletic FC

ELO progression

Dumbarton
Dunfermline Athletic FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2016
DUN
Dundee United
2 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
82%
13%
6%
48 68 20 0
15 Oct. 2016
DUM
Dumbarton
0 - 3
Ayr United
AYR
36%
25%
39%
49 56 7 -1
01 Oct. 2016
DUM
Dumbarton
0 - 0
Queen of the South
QOS
27%
25%
49%
49 61 12 0
24 Sep. 2016
RAI
Raith Rovers
3 - 2
Dumbarton
DUM
68%
19%
13%
50 59 9 -1
17 Sep. 2016
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 1
St. Mirren
STM
41%
25%
34%
49 54 5 +1

Matches

Dunfermline Athletic FC
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2016
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1 - 3
Hibernian FC
HIB
38%
27%
35%
58 66 8 0
15 Oct. 2016
FAL
Falkirk
2 - 1
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
58%
23%
19%
59 64 5 -1
08 Oct. 2016
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
2 - 1
Queen's Park
QUE
71%
18%
11%
59 51 8 0
01 Oct. 2016
AYR
Ayr United
0 - 0
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
40%
26%
34%
59 56 3 0
24 Sep. 2016
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
4 - 3
St. Mirren
STM
61%
21%
18%
59 54 5 0