Dumbarton vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1974 |
DUM
1 - 0
GRE
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1974 |
HIB
3 - 0
DUM
78%
15%
8%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1974 |
DUN
3 - 2
DUM
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1974 |
MHE
2 - 0
DUM
70%
19%
12%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
DUM
3 - 3
HIB
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1974 |
HIB
1 - 1
DUN
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1974 |
DUN
2 - 3
HOM
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1974 |
DUN
3 - 2
DUM
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1974 |
DUN
3 - 1
STJ
39%
25%
36%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
STJ
3 - 1
DUN
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |