Dumbarton vs Dundee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
70.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
DUM
2 - 0
EAS
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
FAL
6 - 2
DUM
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2022 |
DUM
0 - 1
AIR
20%
25%
56%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
DUM
2 - 3
PET
30%
25%
46%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
DUM
1 - 3
MON
22%
26%
53%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
LIV
2 - 0
DUN
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
ABE
2 - 1
DUN
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 1
HOM
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
HIB
1 - 0
DUN
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
ROS
3 - 2
DUN
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |