Dumbarton vs Cowdenbeath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
AIR
4 - 1
DUM
52%
23%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
DUM
2 - 0
ALB
70%
18%
13%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
DUM
0 - 1
QOS
61%
20%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
AIR
1 - 4
DUM
56%
21%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
DUM
2 - 1
AIR
44%
24%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
CWB
3 - 0
EAS
57%
22%
22%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CWB
0 - 4
DUN
52%
24%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
MON
2 - 1
CWB
25%
23%
52%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
CWB
1 - 1
ALL
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
CWB
0 - 0
AIR
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |