Dumbarton vs Cowdenbeath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
31.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1960 |
DUM
3 - 3
GRE
75%
14%
12%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1960 |
ALL
1 - 5
DUM
50%
21%
29%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1960 |
DUM
3 - 0
BER
80%
12%
8%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1960 |
GRE
1 - 3
DUM
73%
15%
13%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 1960 |
DUM
0 - 0
ALL
77%
13%
10%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1960 |
STR
3 - 1
CWB
46%
21%
33%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1960 |
CWB
3 - 0
THE
85%
10%
6%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1960 |
CWB
3 - 1
FOR
78%
12%
10%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 1960 |
EAS
2 - 5
CWB
63%
18%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1959 |
HOM
9 - 3
CWB
85%
9%
6%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |