Dumbarton vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
43.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1891 |
DUM
5 - 0
CAM
36%
25%
39%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1890 |
ABE
1 - 2
DUM
38%
23%
40%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1890 |
COW
1 - 6
DUM
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1890 |
DUM
5 - 1
ABE
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 1890 |
VOL
1 - 3
DUM
58%
22%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1891 |
CEL
3 - 2
STM
62%
21%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1891 |
VOL
3 - 1
CEL
28%
24%
47%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1890 |
ABE
1 - 5
CEL
30%
25%
45%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1890 |
TLA
2 - 1
CEL
33%
25%
42%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1890 |
CEL
5 - 2
CAM
60%
22%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |