Dumbarton vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
42.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
LIV
2 - 0
DUM
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
DUM
4 - 1
EAS
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
STE
4 - 0
DUM
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
PET
1 - 0
DUM
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
DUM
1 - 3
AIR
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
AYR
1 - 0
AIR
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
PET
2 - 4
AYR
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
AYR
2 - 1
ALL
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
FOR
4 - 1
AYR
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
AYR
3 - 1
LIV
33%
26%
40%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +2 |