Dumbarton vs Ayr United analysis

Dumbarton Ayr United
46 ELO 51
2.9% Tilt -1.6%
3904º General ELO ranking 799º
46º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
41.5%
Dumbarton
26.6%
Draw
31.9%
Ayr United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
Dumbarton
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.9%
Win probability
Ayr United
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dumbarton
-6%
-3%
Ayr United

ELO progression

Dumbarton
Ayr United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Apr. 2006
RAI
Raith Rovers
0 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
63%
21%
16%
47 50 3 0
28 Mar. 2006
GRE
Greenock Morton
4 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
70%
18%
12%
48 61 13 -1
25 Mar. 2006
STI
Stirling Albion
3 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
63%
21%
16%
48 56 8 0
21 Mar. 2006
DUM
Dumbarton
0 - 1
Alloa Athletic
ALL
63%
22%
16%
49 43 6 -1
18 Mar. 2006
DUM
Dumbarton
0 - 0
Forfar Athletic
FOR
50%
25%
25%
49 50 1 0

Matches

Ayr United
Ayr United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Apr. 2006
ALL
Alloa Athletic
1 - 1
Ayr United
AYR
47%
24%
29%
50 45 5 0
01 Apr. 2006
AYR
Ayr United
3 - 0
Stirling Albion
STI
32%
26%
42%
49 56 7 +1
25 Mar. 2006
GRE
Greenock Morton
0 - 4
Ayr United
AYR
71%
18%
11%
47 62 15 +2
21 Mar. 2006
AYR
Ayr United
2 - 4
Gretna
GRE
12%
20%
68%
47 73 26 0
18 Mar. 2006
AYR
Ayr United
0 - 0
Raith Rovers
RAI
50%
26%
25%
47 49 2 0