Dumbarton vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
RAI
0 - 0
DUM
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2006 |
GRE
4 - 0
DUM
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
STI
3 - 1
DUM
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2006 |
DUM
0 - 1
ALL
63%
22%
16%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
DUM
0 - 0
FOR
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
ALL
1 - 1
AYR
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
AYR
3 - 0
STI
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
GRE
0 - 4
AYR
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2006 |
AYR
2 - 4
GRE
12%
20%
68%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
AYR
0 - 0
RAI
50%
26%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |