Dumbarton vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
37.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1922 |
RAI
1 - 1
DUM
77%
15%
9%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1922 |
AIR
3 - 1
DUM
70%
18%
13%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1922 |
ABE
3 - 0
DUM
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1922 |
DUM
5 - 3
KIL
41%
25%
33%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1922 |
HAM
1 - 1
DUM
68%
18%
14%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1922 |
AYR
2 - 1
ALB
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1922 |
GRE
2 - 1
AYR
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1922 |
AYR
2 - 0
HAM
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1922 |
AYR
0 - 1
GLA
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1922 |
FAL
1 - 1
AYR
50%
23%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |