Dumbarton vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
42.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ALB
3 - 1
DUM
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
DUM
1 - 1
FOR
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
CWB
0 - 0
DUM
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
BRE
3 - 0
DUM
56%
21%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
DUM
3 - 0
EAS
36%
25%
40%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
CWB
0 - 0
ARB
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ARB
1 - 1
BRE
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
AIR
3 - 3
ARB
39%
25%
37%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
KEI
0 - 1
ARB
13%
18%
69%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
STI
0 - 1
ARB
28%
24%
48%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |