Dumbarton vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ALL
1 - 3
DUM
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
EAS
0 - 1
DUM
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
DUM
2 - 3
STI
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
PET
1 - 2
DUM
59%
23%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
DUM
0 - 3
CWB
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ARB
0 - 1
CWB
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
ARB
0 - 3
CLY
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
STI
2 - 2
ARB
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
ALL
0 - 1
ARB
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ARB
0 - 1
PET
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |