Dumbarton vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
DUM
0 - 3
EAS
21%
25%
54%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
MON
3 - 1
DUM
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
DUM
1 - 4
ELG
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
STR
2 - 0
DUM
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
STM
3 - 0
DUM
69%
20%
11%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
ARB
1 - 4
ALB
66%
20%
13%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
THE
0 - 1
ARB
27%
24%
49%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
STE
0 - 3
ARB
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
ARB
0 - 1
EAS
39%
26%
36%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
ARB
2 - 0
ELG
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |