Dumbarton vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
44.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
DUM
1 - 0
ELG
57%
23%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
DUM
0 - 2
EAS
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2007 |
EAS
1 - 0
DUM
48%
26%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
STE
5 - 1
DUM
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2007 |
DUM
1 - 1
STE
51%
25%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
ALB
0 - 3
ARB
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2007 |
ARB
3 - 2
THE
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
ELG
0 - 1
ARB
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
THE
1 - 5
ARB
20%
24%
57%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
ARB
2 - 2
DUM
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |