Dumbarton vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
QUE
0 - 2
DUM
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1998 |
ALB
2 - 2
DUM
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1998 |
DUM
0 - 3
ALL
35%
27%
38%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1998 |
MHE
1 - 0
DUM
80%
14%
7%
|
41 | 67 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1998 |
DUM
2 - 3
MON
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
ARB
3 - 0
ALL
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1998 |
ARB
1 - 1
ROS
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1998 |
BER
0 - 0
ARB
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1998 |
QUE
0 - 2
ARB
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1998 |
CWB
3 - 1
ARB
38%
28%
34%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |