Dumbarton vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1975 |
HOM
6 - 2
DUM
67%
18%
15%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1975 |
DUM
0 - 8
CEL
29%
22%
49%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1975 |
DUM
0 - 1
ABE
37%
24%
39%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1975 |
CEL
3 - 1
DUM
77%
13%
10%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1975 |
ABE
2 - 0
DUM
72%
16%
13%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1975 |
CLY
1 - 0
ARB
51%
22%
27%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1975 |
ARB
2 - 0
BER
84%
10%
6%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1975 |
ARB
3 - 1
THE
83%
11%
7%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1975 |
BER
1 - 0
ARB
32%
24%
44%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1975 |
THE
0 - 4
ARB
36%
24%
41%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +1 |