Dumbarton vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.7%
18.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1974 |
PAR
1 - 2
DUM
63%
19%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1974 |
ARB
3 - 3
DUM
62%
18%
19%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1974 |
DUM
2 - 3
CLY
67%
17%
16%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1974 |
DUM
2 - 0
DUN
32%
25%
43%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1974 |
GLA
3 - 1
DUM
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1974 |
ARB
2 - 0
CLY
65%
18%
18%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1974 |
ARB
3 - 3
DUM
62%
18%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1974 |
ARB
0 - 2
PAR
56%
20%
24%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1974 |
ABE
2 - 2
ARB
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1974 |
HIB
2 - 1
ARB
76%
15%
9%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |