Dumbarton vs Arbroath analysis

Dumbarton Arbroath
70 ELO 70
16.1% Tilt 0.5%
3899º General ELO ranking 2472º
46º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
56%
Dumbarton
23.5%
Draw
20.4%
Arbroath

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
Dumbarton
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.4%
Win probability
Arbroath
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dumbarton
+9%
-1%
Arbroath

ELO progression

Dumbarton
Arbroath
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jan. 1974
AYR
Ayr United
0 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
68%
20%
12%
68 80 12 0
02 Jan. 1974
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 5
Falkirk
FAL
59%
23%
18%
69 69 0 -1
29 Dec. 1973
DUN
Dundee United
6 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
76%
15%
9%
70 83 13 -1
22 Dec. 1973
DUM
Dumbarton
0 - 2
Rangers
GLA
35%
26%
39%
70 83 13 0
15 Dec. 1973
GRE
Greenock Morton
3 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
63%
22%
15%
71 77 6 -1

Matches

Arbroath
Arbroath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jan. 1974
ARB
Arbroath
3 - 1
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
58%
24%
19%
70 73 3 0
02 Jan. 1974
MHE
Motherwell
3 - 4
Arbroath
ARB
70%
19%
12%
69 80 11 +1
29 Dec. 1973
ARB
Arbroath
3 - 1
St. Johnstone
STJ
36%
25%
39%
67 80 13 +2
22 Dec. 1973
ARB
Arbroath
1 - 3
Aberdeen
ABE
38%
27%
35%
68 83 15 -1
01 Dec. 1973
ARB
Arbroath
1 - 2
Celtic
CEL
33%
25%
42%
68 83 15 0