Dumbarton vs Arbroath analysis

Dumbarton Arbroath
57 ELO 57
3% Tilt 7.2%
3931º General ELO ranking 2454º
46º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
61.2%
Dumbarton
18.6%
Draw
20.2%
Arbroath

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
Dumbarton
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
20.2%
Win probability
Arbroath
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dumbarton
+5%
+2%
Arbroath

ELO progression

Dumbarton
Arbroath
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 1963
DUM
Dumbarton
2 - 3
East Fife
EAS
50%
21%
29%
58 64 6 0
14 Aug. 1963
DUM
Dumbarton
3 - 0
Raith Rovers
RAI
64%
18%
19%
57 55 2 +1
10 Aug. 1963
ARB
Arbroath
1 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
58%
20%
23%
57 57 0 0
19 Sep. 1962
GLA
Rangers
1 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
79%
12%
9%
57 83 26 0
12 Sep. 1962
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 3
Rangers
GLA
31%
22%
47%
57 83 26 0

Matches

Arbroath
Arbroath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 1963
RAI
Raith Rovers
3 - 4
Arbroath
ARB
60%
19%
22%
56 53 3 0
14 Aug. 1963
EAS
East Fife
3 - 0
Arbroath
ARB
72%
15%
13%
57 63 6 -1
10 Aug. 1963
ARB
Arbroath
1 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
58%
20%
23%
57 57 0 0
01 Sep. 1962
ALL
Alloa Athletic
2 - 2
Arbroath
ARB
55%
20%
26%
57 48 9 0
29 Aug. 1962
STI
Stirling Albion
2 - 3
Arbroath
ARB
61%
19%
20%
56 57 1 +1